Biography
Michal Onderco is Full Professor of International Relations in the Department of Public Administration and Sociology at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
As a scholar of international security, his work examines how states, institutions, and societies navigate the evolving landscape of global security governance. His research is organized around three main lines of inquiry.
Nuclear governance, nonproliferation, and deterrence
A central focus of his scholarship is the evolution and contestation of the global nuclear order. He has written extensively on the politics of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), nuclear sharing in Europe, the dynamics of treaty negotiations, and the behavior of both established and emerging powers within nuclear institutions. His recent work also explores how geopolitical shocks—such as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine—reshape national strategies and public attitudes toward deterrence, nuclear risk, and disarmament.
The second research pillar investigates how public opinion, ideology, businesses, political parties, and elite preferences shape states’ security and foreign policies. Using cross-national surveys, experiments, and elite studies, he analyzes societal views on nuclear weapons, sanctions, and the use of military force. This work highlights the complex interplay between public attitudes, partisan politics, and policy outcomes, including gaps between public and elite preferences in areas such as nuclear disarmament and coercive diplomacy. Emerging technologies and the changing global security environment
A third line of research examines how new technologies—especially military artificial intelligence—interact with broader shifts in global order and strategic competition. His work analyzes how states position themselves within emerging governance frameworks, how technological change alters patterns of cooperation and rivalry, and how alliances and institutions adapt to new security domains.
Before coming to Erasmus University, he obtained his PhD in political science from Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam in 2014. In the past, he held visiting positions at the European University Institute, Stanford University, Columbia University, and Waseda University.
Erasmus School of Social and Behavioural Sciences
- onderco@essb.eur.nl
More information
Work
- Michal Onderco & Atsushi Tago (2026) - Friends as neighbors?: Geographic closeness improves support to other governments - Conflict Management and Peace Science, 43 (1), 81-93 - doi: 10.1177/07388942251325159
- Michal Onderco (2025) - Europe’s Nuclear Umbrella: Contesting Nuclear Sharing Since 2010 - doi: 10.1017/9781009698665 - [link]
- Valerio Vignoli, Michal Onderco & Irena Kalhousová (2025) - Who Cares: Why the Israeli–Palestinian Conflict Matters (More) to Some EU Member States - Journal of Common Market Studies - doi: 10.1111/jcms.70058 - [link]
- Mahmoud Javadi, Michal Onderco & Sophie Vanhoonacker (2025) - The European Union’s missing voice: member states’ forum shopping in military AI governance - European Security - doi: 10.1080/09662839.2025.2570806 - [link]
- Clara Portela, Michal Onderco & Valerio Vignoli (2025) - Does CFSP co-ordination foster convergence?: Voting behavior on nuclear weapons at the UN General Assembly - Contemporary Security Policy, 46 (4), 1171-1196 - doi: 10.1080/13523260.2025.2551632 - [link]
- Michal Onderco & Ulrich Kühn (2025) - Organizing nuclear policies in Europe: of bricoleur plurality, architect absence, and spoiler disruption - International Politics, 62 (5), 947-958 - doi: 10.1057/s41311-024-00640-2 - [link]
- Michal Smetana & Michal Onderco (2025) - “Hope the Russians Love Their Children Too”: Russian Public Support for the Use of Nuclear Weapons after the Invasion of Ukraine - Journal of Global Security Studies, 10 (3) - doi: 10.1093/jogss/ogaf012
- Michal Onderco (2025) - Populism and nuclear weapons - doi: 10.4324/9781003414797-36 - [link]
- Mahmoud Javadi & Michal Onderco (2025) - State positioning in European military AI networks: A social network analysis of European partnerships in military AI - Journal of Contemporary European Studies, 33 (4), 1312-1331 - doi: 10.1080/14782804.2025.2514846
- Alexander Sorg, Wolfgang Wagner & Michal Onderco (2025) - Fighting for their country: How proximate conflict shapes citizens’ attitudes - European Journal of International Security - doi: 10.1017/eis.2025.12 - [link]
- Michal Onderco (2025) - Navigating the AI frontier: Insights from the Ukraine conflict for NATO’s governance role in military AI - Journal of Strategic Studies, 48 (3), 602-626 - doi: 10.1080/01402390.2025.2463451
- Michal Onderco (2025) - Civil Society and Nuclear Risk Reduction: NPIHP Working Paper 19 - [link]
- Jakub M. Godzimirski, Marthe Handå Myhre & Michal Onderco (2025) - Caught in the liberal pragmatic trap? How political parties viewed energy dependence on Russia in three European countries 2012–2022 - Journal of Eurasian Studies, 16 (1), 94-107 - doi: 10.1177/18793665241253281 - [link]
- Tobias Bunde & Michal Onderco (2024) - Nuclear Zeitenwende?: The consequences of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine for nuclear policies around the world - The Nonproliferation Review, 30 (4-6), 159-172 - doi: 10.1080/10736700.2024.2437290
- Tobias Bunde & Michal Onderco (2024) - Permissive dissensus: The nuclear dimension of the German Zeitenwende - The Nonproliferation Review, 30 (4-6), 221-240 - doi: 10.1080/10736700.2024.2435137
- Michal Smetana & Michal Onderco (2024) - What the Russian Public Thinks About the Use of Nuclear Weapons - Arms Control Today, 54 (8), 18-20 - [link]
- Valerio Vignoli & Michal Onderco (2024) - Leader ideology and state commitment to multilateral treaties - Review of International Organizations, 20 (4), 1023-1052 - doi: 10.1007/s11558-024-09563-2 - [link]
- Michal Onderco (2017) - Networks in nuclear diplomacy in Global South (Speaker)
Activiteit: Oral presentation › Academic - Michal Onderco (2017) - Why nuclear ban treaty is a bad idea (Speaker)
Activiteit: Oral presentation › Academic - Michal Onderco (2016) - Global South and Iran’s Nuclear Program (Speaker)
Activiteit: Oral presentation › Academic - Michal Onderco (2016) - How much damage did the crises make? (Speaker)
Activiteit: Oral presentation › Academic - Michal Onderco (2015) - What can we learn from the Iranian nuclear crisis? (Speaker)
Activiteit: Oral presentation › Academic - PA van Hooft & Michal Onderco (2015) - Answering threats: when regional powers balance and when they do not (Speaker)
Activiteit: Oral presentation › Academic - Michal Onderco (2015) - Nuclear disarmament and Nuclear Deterrence: Bridging the Divide (Speaker)
Activiteit: Oral presentation › Academic - Michal Onderco (2015) - Why Do Europeans Differ on Ukraine? (Speaker)
Activiteit: Oral presentation › Academic
PhD Program in Security, Risk and Vulnerability of
- Start date approval
- september 2023
- End date approval
- augustus 2026
- Place
- GENOVA, ITALY
- Description
- Member of PhD Board Security & Strategic Studies
Journal of International Relations and Development
- Start date approval
- januari 2025
- End date approval
- januari 2028
- Place
- LJUBLJANA
- Description
- Associate Editor
Prague Center for Peace Research
- Start date approval
- maart 2025
- End date approval
- maart 2028
- Place
- PRAAG
- Description
- Advisory Board & Research Affiliation (courtesy)
Slovak Research and Development Agency
- Start date approval
- juni 2025
- End date approval
- juni 2026
- Place
- BRATISLAVA
- Description
- Council on Social Sciences
War and Peace
- Level
- Minor
- Year Level
- Minor
- Year
- 2025
- Course Code
- CH9011
The International System
- Level
- Minor
- Year Level
- Minor
- Year
- 2025
- Course Code
- CH9012
The History of diplomacy and int. neg.
- Level
- Minor
- Year Level
- Minor
- Year
- 2025
- Course Code
- CH9013
4.1 Global Governance
- Year
- 2025
- Course Code
- FSWBM-4076
4.3 Master's thesis/Final Res. Proj. IMP
- Year
- 2025
- Course Code
- FSWBM-4171
4.2 Europe in the World
- Year
- 2025
- Course Code
- FSWBM-4230
1.2 International Law
- Year
- 2025
- Course Code
- ESSB-C1070
